tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4572286363399496963.post5965180012466802453..comments2024-03-27T04:17:21.221-08:00Comments on Deep Cold: Alaska Weather & Climate: El Niño Winter TemperaturesRickhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03946704894714514716noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4572286363399496963.post-7213612075803242202014-05-23T17:23:18.378-08:002014-05-23T17:23:18.378-08:00Brian, Nice job - we often rely on these rather we...Brian, Nice job - we often rely on these rather weak analog signals, but you've shown that they can look completely different or even be of the opposite sign when using a contemporary climatology! This is an interesting discovery.<br /><br />Eric - I think much of the material on this blog could be considered as seeds for detailed investigation that would lead to formal publication. The problem is that the publishing process is enormously arduous and time-consuming, and I certainly don't have any more spare time.<br />Richard Jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08313902028896263276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4572286363399496963.post-37775198870605303322014-05-23T14:22:11.407-08:002014-05-23T14:22:11.407-08:00Thanks Eric. Yes, the PDO is much more relavent bu...Thanks Eric. Yes, the PDO is much more relavent but on a macro scale. Since El Nino is in the news a lot I thought it would be interesting to look at it in isolation. More importantly, I wanted to demonstrate the perils of using an inappropriate climate normal period. Climatologist49https://www.blogger.com/profile/04560505931210357679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4572286363399496963.post-86760088152025930022014-05-23T14:05:09.118-08:002014-05-23T14:05:09.118-08:00I would like to say that the huge negative temp de...I would like to say that the huge negative temp departures through the seventies and the about-face to the present is because of the PDO. This especially in light of the posts on El Nino on Mar 27 and Apr 10. However, there has to be more. The PDO is not an answer for everything, is it? <br /><br />And is there anything that has been posted on this website that is original enough to be published in a journal? Sure seems like it.Eric Lundellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17914784378747801359noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4572286363399496963.post-91767611848744766182014-05-23T11:46:25.369-08:002014-05-23T11:46:25.369-08:00Excellent read as always Brian. The links are info...Excellent read as always Brian. The links are informative, especially the winter precip probabilities (+=-). <br /><br />I tend to overplay the expected effects of ENSO in Fairbanks, especially when the PDO doesn't mimic ENSO's trend.<br /><br />Gary (Still will prepare the snowblower for winter duty)NL7Yhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15874712728971005352noreply@blogger.com