Below is a plot (upper portion of the plot) of the daily highs since mid-September at Fairbanks Airport (434' MSL) and Keystone Ridge (1600' MSL). The high temperatures are the calendar day (AKST) max temperatures, so this is a direct apples-to-apples comparison. On the lower portion I've plotted the difference in max temperatures (blue) and the late evening snow depth at Keystone Ridge (Fairbanks Airport has had no days with measurable snow on that ground overnight). While not all days with big differences in max temperature are associated with measurable snow remaining, it is the case that the days with differences less than 5 degrees have only occurred when no measurable snow was on the ground at Keystone Ridge. So clearly, snow cover isn't everything. Much of the difference is attributable to Keystone Ridge's northeast exposure, which greatly amplifies the lowering sun (solar noon solar elevation today, October 13th is 17ยบ)
Objective Comments and Analysis - All Science, No Politics
Primary Author Richard James
2010-2013 Author Rick Thoman
Sunday, October 13, 2013
Differetial Snow Cover, Low Angle Sun and Impacts on Maximum Temperatures
Temperatures the past month in Fairbanks have been on a bit of a roller coaster, as Richard has previously blogged about. And, as sometimes happens this time of year, snow cover has been quite variable, with very little snow at valley level but several rounds of accumulating snow above 1500' elevation. Combined with the rapidly decreasing solar heating, this makes for, at times, significantly greater differences in daily maximum temperature between the valley and hills than would be expected from that accounted for by differences in elevation.
Below is a plot (upper portion of the plot) of the daily highs since mid-September at Fairbanks Airport (434' MSL) and Keystone Ridge (1600' MSL). The high temperatures are the calendar day (AKST) max temperatures, so this is a direct apples-to-apples comparison. On the lower portion I've plotted the difference in max temperatures (blue) and the late evening snow depth at Keystone Ridge (Fairbanks Airport has had no days with measurable snow on that ground overnight). While not all days with big differences in max temperature are associated with measurable snow remaining, it is the case that the days with differences less than 5 degrees have only occurred when no measurable snow was on the ground at Keystone Ridge. So clearly, snow cover isn't everything. Much of the difference is attributable to Keystone Ridge's northeast exposure, which greatly amplifies the lowering sun (solar noon solar elevation today, October 13th is 17ยบ)
Below is a plot (upper portion of the plot) of the daily highs since mid-September at Fairbanks Airport (434' MSL) and Keystone Ridge (1600' MSL). The high temperatures are the calendar day (AKST) max temperatures, so this is a direct apples-to-apples comparison. On the lower portion I've plotted the difference in max temperatures (blue) and the late evening snow depth at Keystone Ridge (Fairbanks Airport has had no days with measurable snow on that ground overnight). While not all days with big differences in max temperature are associated with measurable snow remaining, it is the case that the days with differences less than 5 degrees have only occurred when no measurable snow was on the ground at Keystone Ridge. So clearly, snow cover isn't everything. Much of the difference is attributable to Keystone Ridge's northeast exposure, which greatly amplifies the lowering sun (solar noon solar elevation today, October 13th is 17ยบ)
I've noticed that some of the RAWS have a Solar product: W/m*m and Solar Pct of posbl. Have you or others discussed this in terms of perceived seasonality and annual climate?
ReplyDeleteGary
Gary,
DeleteThe solar sensors are a very nice feature, and are especially useful for estimating cloud cover during the day. Time will tell if useful long term stats can be extracted from them, giving the difficulties of winter, when snow/frost on the senors can comprise the values.
Rick
How do minimum temperatures compare? Does the KERA2 site promote good radiational cooling?
ReplyDeleteBrain,
DeleteFor the same period, the average low at KERA2 is 1.3F lower than at PAFA,(28.7F vs. 30.0F), so is effectively still in the warm season mode. As soon as the valley gets a snow cover the inversion season will start.
Rick