Up in Barrow, a few below-normal days started showing up in mid-June, but it has remained generally warmer than normal this summer; and in Kotzebue the summer has been very warm so far (4.4°F above normal since June 1). The warmth in the northwest is closely related to the extraordinary warmth of the ocean surface in the Bering and Chukchi Seas (see map below); until this large ocean area cools off, there won't be much in the way of below-normal temperatures in western Alaska. Unsurprisingly the CPC's latest seasonal forecast has a very high probability of warmer than normal conditions in western Alaska for August through October (also shown below).
I wonder if it will be marginally cool enough for a wam but snowy fall vs a warm dry one or worse a warm rainy one like the last two years. (I'm more referring to the coastal areas and Alaska in general as opposed to just the interior)
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