Showing posts with label Severe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Severe. Show all posts

Saturday, July 8, 2023

Severe Thunderstorms

The east-central interior saw a remarkable and rare outbreak of strong to severe thunderstorms yesterday evening, and the NWS meteorologists in Fairbanks had their hands full issuing warnings for the numerous storms.  The first severe thunderstorm warning was issued at 5:47pm AKDT for a storm about 30 miles west of Fairbanks, and 12 more warnings were issued over the next two and a half hours.

Here's the Fairbanks radar image at the time the first warning was issued (click to enlarge).  The storm cell in question is the one just to the north of the Parks Highway (the red line) to the west of Fairbanks.  The storm just to the southwest of that, closer to Nenana, dropped half an inch of rain at the airport there in 22 minutes.


Two particularly severe storms developed a bit later well to the northeast of Fairbanks, near Central, and eventually crossing the Yukon River.  Here are the radar snapshots from 7:08 and 7:24pm: note the very high radar reflectivity values, which are strongly indicative of large hail.  The Weather Service issued warnings for "half dollar size" hail, i.e. 1.2 inches in diameter.



The ingredients for the storms involved very high humidity at low levels and a powerful impulse (widespread lifting/ascent) in association with a strong cold front approaching from the west.  The dewpoint reached 61°F in Fairbanks in the early evening, which is about as high as humidity typically gets in summer there, and Fort Yukon's dewpoint made it up to 63°F.  Low-level humidity greatly adds to convective instability, which is the fuel for deep, vigorous overturning in thunderstorms.

Here's the 500mb analysis at 4pm yesterday.  Note the very sharp trough over southwestern Alaska and the strong pressure gradient to its east, with strong southerly flow between the trough and a ridge downstream over northwestern Canada.

 

That southerly flow and the strong Canadian ridge produced excessive heat over Alaska's far eastern interior, western Canada, and southeastern Alaska: here are maximum temperatures yesterday (click to enlarge).


I imagine Rick Thoman will provide more expansive historical context for the heat wave on his Substack channel, but the 91°F reported by the co-op observer at Eagle is pretty unusual: before 2012 it was about a once or twice a decade occurrence.  Father east, the 95°F at Carmacks is within a degree of the all-time high in 2004.  Canada has been breaking all sorts of heat records this summer.

Finally, here are simple radar animations from yesterday evening: split into two halves for the sake of file size (i.e. the second animation picks up where the first one ends).  What a remarkable event!  I'd be very glad to hear of any reports from those on the ground - feel free to share in the comments.



Sunday, June 29, 2014

Rare Severe Thunderstorm Warning

On Monday, June 23, 2014, the Fairbanks National Weather Service Office issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the southern Yukon Flats (AKZ 220).

WUAK59 PAFG 240411
SVRAFG
AKZ220-240430-
/O.NEW.PAFG.SV.W.0001.140624T0411Z-140624T0430Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
807 PM AKDT MON JUN 23 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL YUKON FLATS AND SURROUNDING UPLANDS IN ALASKA 50 
  MILES NORTHWEST OF TWELVEMILE SUMMIT...

* UNTIL 830 PM AKDT

* AT 807 PM AKDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 50
  MILES NORTHWEST OF TWELVEMILE SUMMIT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

The last time a Severe Thunderstorm Warning was issued anywhere in Alaska was on July 11, 2010 (AKZ 222 near Twelvemile Summit). There are people far more qualified than I am to discuss the atmospherics of this event; however, I did want to show a few maps of the region and some of the radar products. On each map, the trapezoid represents the coordinates of the warned area. Some of the interesting features include the 3.27"/hour maximum precipitation rate and the 90% probability of hail statistic (a text product).

Figure 1. Location map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

Figure 2. Base Reflectivity map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

Figure 3. Cloud to height map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

 
Figure 4. Storm Relative Velocity map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

 Figure 5. Instantaneous Precipitation Rate map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

Figure 6. Vertical Integrated Liquid map of Severe Thunderstorm Warning.