Friday, October 3, 2014

October Snow Climatology

With the forecast calling for a couple of inches of snow in Fairbanks, it is a good time to remind people that October is actually the snowiest month of the year for much of the Interior. In fact, there are 11 stations in the entire U.S. whose snowiest month of the year is October – all are in Interior Alaska. This is based on 4,218 stations that the NCDC calculates normal monthly snowfall and that receive at least 2" annually. The eleven stations are shown on the map with a green star and are in the list below.

Figure 1 shows all stations in Alaska that have a published normal snow amount from NCDC. Stations with a peak in October are shown as green stars. Figure 2 showsthe monthly normal precipitation for five stations in Interior and Northern Alaska that all experience more snow in October than any other month.

The reason for the early snow onset is due to the extreme cold during November through February. Colder air cannot hold nearly as much moisture and consequently the snow events generally produce small amounts during those months. For example, air that is 32°F can hold 4 times as much moisture as air that is 0°F and 11 times as much as air that is -20°F.

Here are the eleven stations whose snowiest month is October:

Barrow Post Rogers AP
Chandalar Lake
Colville Village
Delta Junction 20SE
Dry Creek
Keystone Ridge
Kuparuk
Prudhoe Bay
Salcha
Slana
Whitestone Farms


Figure 1. Snowiest month of the year based on NCDC normals.



Figure 2. Monthly snow totals (NCDC normals) for five stations that have a peak snowfall in October.

1 comment:

  1. A timely Blog Brian. I see snow descending over the hills around Fairbanks at 5pm.

    I wonder how prevalent today's forecast weather pattern is during October for the stations you note in Interior Alaska? Here's a description from the local NWS:

    SURFACE...
    A 1012 MB LOW 350 NM NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND WILL TO 80 NM NORTH OF
    PRUDHOE BAY BY 4AM SAT THEN DISSIPATE. A 1027 MB HIGH IS CURRENTLY
    OVER THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA. A STRONG 979 MB LOW IS MOVING INTO
    THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE
    INLAND OVER THE YUKON AND WEAKEN ON SATURDAY.

    Gary

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